I generally feel that JTE is well thought out but there’s two requirements which have bad math problems and are part of a problem which allows a weak unit to earn gold.
Look at the math on Pack JTE #5. Number who advanced in the year divided by number registered at the end of the calendar year.
Let’s say my pack on Jan 1, 2019 had 30 kids. 20 of them earn their advancement. We’re on track for Silver on item 5. Not bad but not great
5 age off to Scouts BSA.
I have a good recruitment in fall with 12 kids joining and 8 earning bobcat. So the pack grew to 37 kids. For whatever reason 8 of them quit before the end of the year. Not good. So of my 28 kids 42 advanced. Still Silver based on that.
But wait, that’s not the actual math we use for the item. The real number is 28 of 37 (75%) because last years 5th graders aren’t counted for one side of the equation but they are for the other. They aren’t registered with the pack at the end of the year. We earned Gold because it’s total number of cubscouts who advanced in the calendar year divided by most of the cub scouts who were members in the calendar year. The equation is unbalanced.
If we had a family with two kids move and change packs, transferring their membership in August it becomes 28/35 (80%). We should be subtracting kids who leave the pack, not counting their advancement or counting all kids who were members in the calendar year. The numbers skew upwards the less kids you have on the paperwork at the end of the year. It would be possible to earn more than 100% advancement by having a lot of 5th graders one year.
Look at Pack JTE #3 for the second problem. If you have a lot of kids aging off and aren’t gaining new kids you can score high when your pack is near collapse.
The math for retention is the number who renew for 2020 divided by [the number at the end of 2019 minus age offs during 2019]
Let’s do the math with a unit in decline.
Let’s say the unit doesn’t recruit or retain well for several years. each group is smaller than the one before. The pack has 20 kids in 2019 and 12 are 5th graders and two younger members quit. the pack gains 2 new Scouts and renews with 6 kids total. They barely recharter by all parents and some grandparents being registered. It’s clear this won’t be the case for 2021 as two more kids stay just long enough to earn arrow of light.
The math is 6/(20-12) or 6/8. That’s 75% or Gold.
This unit earned Gold one year for retention and doesn’t exist 12 months later. I can come up with a way to get 1500 points in 11 categories for this unit for 2019
The actual math for #3 should be registered for 2020 / (registered at the beginning of 2019 + new members gained in 2019)
For 6 divided by 22